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Shoebox-sized satellite could sniff out nuclear weapons in orbit

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How the detector works

Areg Danagoulian, a nuclear physicist at MIT, has published a plan in the journal Nature for detecting nuclear weapons hidden on satellites. The idea is built around a small satellite called a 9U CubeSat, roughly the size of a large shoebox. The CubeSat would carry a detector tuned to catch neutrons.

Neutrons are the key signal. When high-energy protons in the space environment crash into nuclear material such as uranium, the collision knocks neutrons loose in a process called spallation. A weapon hidden aboard a satellite would produce this telltale spray. "If you detect those neutrons, that itself can be a telltale sign that there is an unusual amount of uranium on the satellite, and it's most likely to be a nuclear weapon," Danagoulian said.

Why space weapons matter

A nuclear explosion in orbit would be a disaster for the world's satellite fleet. Thousands of satellites now provide navigation, communications, weather data, and military services. A single detonation could destroy many of them at once and flood nearby orbits with radiation. "We would not only lose the satellites, we would lose entire orbits for a few years," researchers warn.

The Outer Space Treaty, signed in 1967, prohibits placing nuclear weapons in orbit. But the treaty has no enforcement mechanism. No reliable way currently exists to check whether a satellite launched by another country is carrying a weapon. Danagoulian's proposal is designed to fill that gap.

Challenges ahead

The system would work by maneuvering close to a suspicious satellite. Calculations show that a 9U CubeSat could identify a thermonuclear weapon from a distance of about four kilometers in roughly one week of observation, with accuracy near 99 percent. "You can fake intelligence, but you can't fake physics," Danagoulian said.

Practical hurdles remain. Thomas Gonzalez Roberts, an astrodynamicist at Georgia Tech, notes that the inspector satellite would need to get very close to its target. In the past, approaches within tens of kilometers have annoyed satellite operators and raised diplomatic tensions. Danagoulian hopes national laboratories will build on the work and that policymakers will consider the technology as part of official verification tools.

Source: Science News